tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Newark via Indianapolis: arrives on time 92%

  1. 22:39 SEA → 05:44 IND
    AS 624 · Alaska · 4h 05m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 21m layover in Indianapolis (IND) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:05 IND → 11:11 EWR +1 day
    UA 3451 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 06m · 95% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 111 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 21m layover.
Arrives on time92%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip9h 32mSEA 22:39 to EWR 11:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.