tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Washington via Indianapolis: arrives on time 90%

  1. 22:39 SEA → 05:44 IND
    AS 624 · Alaska · 4h 05m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 48m layover in Indianapolis (IND) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:32 IND → 11:19 DCA +1 day
    AA 4434 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 47m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 138 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 48m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip9h 40mSEA 22:39 to DCA 11:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.