tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Burbank via Seattle: arrives on time 57%

  1. 07:04 IND → 08:52 SEA
    AS 625 · Alaska · 4h 48m · 81% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:43 SEA → 12:23 BUR
    AS 426 · Alaska · 2h 40m · 86% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 3 h behind Indianapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 19mIND 07:04 to BUR 12:23, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.