tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Lihue via Honolulu: arrives on time 32%

  1. 10:55 SEA → 14:04 HNL
    AS 626 · Alaska · 6h 09m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:55 HNL → 15:38 LIH
    AS 1093 · Alaska · 43m · 64% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip7h 43mSEA 10:55 to LIH 15:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.