tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Kahului via Honolulu: arrives on time 54%

  1. 10:55 SEA → 14:04 HNL
    AS 626 · Alaska · 6h 09m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 31m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:35 HNL → 16:16 OGG
    AS 1136 · Alaska · 41m · 65% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kahului is 3 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 31m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip8h 21mSEA 10:55 to OGG 16:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.