tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Kailua/Kona via Honolulu: arrives on time 79%

  1. 10:55 SEA → 14:04 HNL
    AS 626 · Alaska · 6h 09m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 26m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 HNL → 18:16 KOA
    AS 1158 · Alaska · 46m · 80% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 10h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 161 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 26m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip10h 21mSEA 10:55 to KOA 18:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.