tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → El Paso via Seattle: arrives on time 48%

  1. 10:28 LAS → 13:14 SEA
    AS 629 · Alaska · 2h 46m · 89% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:08 SEA → 18:36 ELP
    AS 2191 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 3h 28m · 61% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (El Paso is 1 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip7h 08mLAS 10:28 to ELP 18:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.