tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Phoenix via Seattle: arrives on time 73%

  1. 12:27 SFO → 14:35 SEA
    AS 630 · Alaska · 2h 08m · 21% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:55 SEA → 19:53 PHX
    AS 744 · Alaska · 2h 58m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip7h 26mSFO 12:27 to PHX 19:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.