tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → New York via San Francisco: arrives on time 82%

  1. 18:03 LAS → 19:41 SFO
    AS 634 · Alaska · 1h 38m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 49m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 SFO → 06:20 JFK +1 day
    AS 211 · Alaska · 5h 50m · 92% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 64 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 49m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip9h 17mLAS 18:03 to JFK 06:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.