tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Anchorage via Seattle: arrives on time 75%

  1. 09:10 PHX → 12:17 SEA
    AS 637 · Alaska · 3h 07m · 86% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 4h 42m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:59 SEA → 19:38 ANC
    AS 225 · Alaska · 3h 39m · 77% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 11h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 1 h behind Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 237 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 42m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip11h 28mPHX 09:10 to ANC 19:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.