tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Anchorage via Seattle: arrives on time 80%

  1. 09:10 PHX → 12:17 SEA
    AS 637 · Alaska · 3h 07m · 86% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:47 SEA → 17:26 ANC
    AS 660 · Alaska · 3h 39m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 1 h behind Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip9h 16mPHX 09:10 to ANC 17:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.