tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Detroit via Tampa: arrives on time 89%

  1. 21:18 SEA → 05:48 TPA
    AS 639 · Alaska · 5h 30m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 42m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:30 TPA → 11:10 DTW +1 day
    DL 808 · Delta · 2h 40m · 93% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 10h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 72 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 42m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip10h 52mSEA 21:18 to DTW 11:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.