tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Chicago via Tampa: arrives on time 90%

  1. 21:18 SEA → 05:48 TPA
    AS 639 · Alaska · 5h 30m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 02m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 07:50 TPA → 10:00 ORD +1 day
    UA 2804 · United · 3h 10m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 02m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (97%).
Total trip10h 42mSEA 21:18 to ORD 10:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.