tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → New Orleans via Tampa: arrives on time 88%

  1. 21:18 SEA → 05:48 TPA
    AS 639 · Alaska · 5h 30m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 07m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 07:55 TPA → 08:35 MSY +1 day
    WN 934 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 07m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip9h 17mSEA 21:18 to MSY 08:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.