tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tucson → Portland via Seattle: arrives on time 67%

  1. 14:29 TUS → 17:44 SEA
    AS 641 · Alaska · 3h 15m · 81% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 4h 45m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:29 SEA → 23:30 PDX
    AS 1457 · Alaska · 1h 01m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 240 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 45m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip9h 01mTUS 14:29 to PDX 23:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.