tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tucson → Portland via Seattle: arrives on time 80%

  1. 14:29 TUS → 17:44 SEA
    AS 641 · Alaska · 3h 15m · 81% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 41m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 SEA → 21:22 PDX
    AS 2387 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 57m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 116 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 41m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 53mTUS 14:29 to PDX 21:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.