tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Oakland via Seattle: arrives on time 66%

  1. 07:20 PHX → 10:29 SEA
    AS 645 · Alaska · 3h 09m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:41 SEA → 13:59 OAK
    AS 1328 · Alaska · 2h 18m · 73% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 39mPHX 07:20 to OAK 13:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.