tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Lihue via Seattle: arrives on time 58%

  1. 07:20 PHX → 10:29 SEA
    AS 645 · Alaska · 3h 09m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:28 SEA → 14:40 LIH
    AS 258 · Alaska · 6h 12m · 69% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 10h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip10h 20mPHX 07:20 to LIH 14:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.