tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Bozeman via Seattle: arrives on time 61%

  1. 07:20 PHX → 10:29 SEA
    AS 645 · Alaska · 3h 09m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:29 SEA → 14:09 BZN
    AS 285 · Alaska · 1h 40m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 1 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 49mPHX 07:20 to BZN 14:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.