tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Portland via Seattle: arrives on time 87%

  1. 07:20 PHX → 10:29 SEA
    AS 645 · Alaska · 3h 09m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 16m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:45 SEA → 14:48 PDX
    AS 3204 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 03m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 151 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 16m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 28mPHX 07:20 to PDX 14:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.