tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Burbank → San Jose via Portland: arrives on time 70%

  1. 18:10 BUR → 20:25 PDX
    AS 649 · Alaska · 2h 15m · 86% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 PDX → 23:21 SJC
    AS 678 · Alaska · 1h 51m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 11mBUR 18:10 to SJC 23:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.