tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Burbank → Santa Rosa via Portland: arrives on time 82%

  1. 18:10 BUR → 20:25 PDX
    AS 649 · Alaska · 2h 15m · 86% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 PDX → 23:30 STS
    AS 3115 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 45m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 20mBUR 18:10 to STS 23:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.