tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Burbank → Dulles via Portland: arrives on time 85%

  1. 18:10 BUR → 20:25 PDX
    AS 649 · Alaska · 2h 15m · 86% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:30 PDX → 07:32 IAD +1 day
    UA 498 · United · 5h 02m · 92% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 10h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of Burbank). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip10h 22mBUR 18:10 to IAD 07:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.