tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → Austin via Seattle: arrives on time 75%

  1. 12:04 ONT → 14:44 SEA
    AS 654 · Alaska · 2h 40m · 90% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 35m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:19 SEA → 00:31 AUS +1 day
    AS 372 · Alaska · 4h 12m · 78% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 10h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of Ontario). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 170 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 35m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip10h 27mONT 12:04 to AUS 00:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.