tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Portland via San Francisco: arrives on time 50%

  1. 11:42 SEA → 14:04 SFO
    AS 655 · Alaska · 2h 22m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:02 SFO → 16:47 PDX
    AS 1302 · Alaska · 1h 45m · 76% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 05mSEA 11:42 to PDX 16:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.