tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Anchorage via Seattle: arrives on time 73%

  1. 10:18 SFO → 12:27 SEA
    AS 656 · Alaska · 2h 09m · 57% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 31m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:58 SEA → 18:37 ANC
    AS 99 · Alaska · 3h 39m · 78% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 1 h behind San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 166 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 31m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip9h 19mSFO 10:18 to ANC 18:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.