tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Monterey via Seattle: arrives on time 82%

  1. 10:18 SFO → 12:27 SEA
    AS 656 · Alaska · 2h 09m · 57% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 53m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:20 SEA → 17:42 MRY
    AS 2129 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 22m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 128 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 53m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip7h 24mSFO 10:18 to MRY 17:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.