tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Hailey via Seattle: arrives on time 57%

  1. 10:18 SFO → 12:27 SEA
    AS 656 · Alaska · 2h 09m · 57% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 58m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:25 SEA → 19:01 SUN
    AS 2322 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 36m · 63% on time, 5.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hailey is 1 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 193 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 58m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (5.0% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip7h 43mSFO 10:18 to SUN 19:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.