tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Eugene via Seattle: arrives on time 64%

  1. 10:18 SFO → 12:27 SEA
    AS 656 · Alaska · 2h 09m · 57% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 23m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:50 SEA → 17:00 EUG
    AS 2338 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 10m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 158 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 23m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 42mSFO 10:18 to EUG 17:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.