tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Spokane via Seattle: arrives on time 39%

  1. 10:18 SFO → 12:27 SEA
    AS 656 · Alaska · 2h 09m · 57% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:35 SEA → 14:38 GEG
    AS 2349 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 03m · 73% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 12 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip4h 20mSFO 10:18 to GEG 14:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.