tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Honolulu via Anchorage: arrives on time 59%

  1. 12:18 SEA → 15:06 ANC
    AS 657 · Alaska · 3h 48m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Anchorage (ANC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:00 ANC → 20:05 HNL
    AS 49 · Alaska · 6h 05m · 84% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 10h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 3 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip10h 47mSEA 12:18 to HNL 20:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.