tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Santa Rosa via Portland: arrives on time 81%

  1. 17:48 PHX → 20:30 PDX
    AS 662 · Alaska · 2h 42m · 84% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 PDX → 23:30 STS
    AS 3115 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 45m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 42mPHX 17:48 to STS 23:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.