tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Tampa via Seattle: arrives on time 56%

  1. 18:44 SLC → 20:00 SEA
    AS 665 · Alaska · 2h 16m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:18 SEA → 05:48 TPA +1 day
    AS 639 · Alaska · 5h 30m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip9h 04mSLC 18:44 to TPA 05:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.