tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Reno via Seattle: arrives on time 34%

  1. 18:44 SLC → 20:00 SEA
    AS 665 · Alaska · 2h 16m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:52 SEA → 22:40 RNO
    AS 736 · Alaska · 1h 48m · 80% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Reno is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection43%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 57% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (43%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 56mSLC 18:44 to RNO 22:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.