tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Billings via Seattle: arrives on time 49%

  1. 18:44 SLC → 20:00 SEA
    AS 665 · Alaska · 2h 16m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 SEA → 23:51 BIL
    AS 2457 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 52m · 92% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip5h 07mSLC 18:44 to BIL 23:51, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.