tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Medford via Seattle: arrives on time 78%

  1. 18:44 SLC → 20:00 SEA
    AS 665 · Alaska · 2h 16m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 SEA → 00:04 MFR +1 day
    AS 2461 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 24m · 89% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Medford is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 20mSLC 18:44 to MFR 00:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.