tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Santa Rosa via San Diego: arrives on time 51%

  1. 17:35 PDX → 20:11 SAN
    AS 667 · Alaska · 2h 37m · 78% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:03 SAN → 22:58 STS
    AS 3302 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 55m · 80% on time, 8.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (8.9% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 23mPDX 17:35 to STS 22:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.