tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Sitka via Ketchikan: arrives on time 48%

  1. 15:37 SEA → 16:43 KTN
    AS 67 · Alaska · 2h 06m · 71% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Ketchikan (KTN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:39 KTN → 18:32 SIT
    AS 67 · Alaska · 53m · 75% on time, 4.7% cancelled

Total trip 3h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sitka is 1 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (4.7% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip3h 55mSEA 15:37 to SIT 18:32, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.