tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Las Vegas via Everett: arrives on time 88%

  1. 14:23 PHX → 17:23 PAE
    AS 674 · Alaska · 3h 00m · 100% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Everett (PAE) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:21 PAE → 20:54 LAS
    AS 605 · Alaska · 2h 33m · 91% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip6h 31mPHX 14:23 to LAS 20:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.