tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Lihue via Seattle: arrives on time 74%

  1. 12:16 LAS → 15:00 SEA
    AS 676 · Alaska · 2h 44m · 77% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 13m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:13 SEA → 21:25 LIH
    AS 237 · Alaska · 6h 12m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 12h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 148 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 13m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip12h 09mLAS 12:16 to LIH 21:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.