tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Fresno via Seattle: arrives on time 67%

  1. 07:03 SFO → 09:13 SEA
    AS 68 · Alaska · 2h 10m · 87% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:13 SEA → 12:31 FAT
    AS 383 · Alaska · 2h 18m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 28mSFO 07:03 to FAT 12:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.