tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Kahului via Seattle: arrives on time 62%

  1. 07:03 SFO → 09:13 SEA
    AS 68 · Alaska · 2h 10m · 87% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 SEA → 13:19 OGG
    AS 929 · Alaska · 6h 04m · 72% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kahului is 3 h behind San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip9h 16mSFO 07:03 to OGG 13:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.