tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Santa Barbara via San Francisco: arrives on time 87%

  1. 13:20 SEA → 15:31 SFO
    AS 680 · Alaska · 2h 11m · 69% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 18:16 SFO → 19:43 SBA
    UA 5962 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 27m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip6h 23mSEA 13:20 to SBA 19:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.