tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Hailey via San Francisco: arrives on time 74%

  1. 13:20 SEA → 15:31 SFO
    AS 680 · Alaska · 2h 11m · 69% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 24m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 18:55 SFO → 21:51 SUN
    UA 5986 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 56m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hailey is 1 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 114 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 24m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip7h 31mSEA 13:20 to SUN 21:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.