tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Kailua/Kona via San Francisco: arrives on time 87%

  1. 13:20 SEA → 15:31 SFO
    AS 680 · Alaska · 2h 11m · 69% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 37m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 19:08 SFO → 21:45 KOA
    UA 731 · United · 5h 37m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 127 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 37m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip11h 25mSEA 13:20 to KOA 21:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.