tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Los Angeles via Sacramento: arrives on time 96%

  1. 14:16 SEA → 16:11 SMF
    AS 681 · Alaska · 1h 55m · 84% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 36m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 18:47 SMF → 20:39 LAX
    UA 5628 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 52m · 99% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 66 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 36m layover.
Arrives on time96%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (99%).
Total trip6h 23mSEA 14:16 to LAX 20:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.