tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Orlando via Seattle: arrives on time 82%

  1. 17:08 SMF → 19:07 SEA
    AS 683 · Alaska · 1h 59m · 60% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 26m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:33 SEA → 06:16 MCO +1 day
    AS 394 · Alaska · 5h 43m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 26m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip10h 08mSMF 17:08 to MCO 06:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.