tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Medford via Portland: arrives on time 52%

  1. 15:55 SEA → 16:55 PDX
    AS 686 · Alaska · 1h 00m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 PDX → 18:48 MFR
    AS 2163 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 03m · 87% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 2h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip2h 53mSEA 15:55 to MFR 18:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.