tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → San Francisco via Los Angeles: arrives on time 82%

  1. 10:45 PDX → 13:20 LAX
    AS 695 · Alaska · 2h 35m · 88% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:10 LAX → 18:38 SFO
    UA 233 · United · 1h 28m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 53mPDX 10:45 to SFO 18:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.