tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Missoula → Minneapolis via Seattle: arrives on time 58%

  1. 17:00 MSO → 17:41 SEA
    AS 697 · Alaska · 1h 41m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:40 SEA → 23:59 MSP
    AS 386 · Alaska · 3h 19m · 82% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h ahead of Missoula). Times are local. Both flew on 19 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 59mMSO 17:00 to MSP 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.